News update for Mon 17 Feb 2025
Your trusted guide to the top independent news and views of the day...
Welcome to your TrueNorth news update where every weekday afternoon we share curated articles from Australia’s independent news media sector.
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Scroll down for today’s news and views…
TODAY’S BREAKING NEWS UPDATES: See all the breaking news of the day through The Guardian here - and through 6 News here
BREAKING NEWS: Police investigate potential Islamophobic assaults at Melbourne shopping centre - The Guardian
Casey Briggs: Peter Dutton most likely to be next prime minister, according to YouGov poll - ABC News
The Coalition would be in the best position to form government if an election was held today, according to a new estimate from pollster YouGov.
The ABC can reveal the results of YouGov's latest MRP model, which finds the Peter Dutton-led Coalition would be likely to win about 73 seats, with a lower estimate of 65 and upper estimate of 80.
A party needs 76 seats to govern in majority. The model estimates there is a 78 per cent chance of a hung parliament, and a 19 per cent chance of the Coalition winning a majority.
Read more from Casey Briggs for The ABC
Also read >
Comparing the MRPs - Ben Raue for The Tally Room
Poll suggests majority of Australian voters expect fair and humane approach to refugees - The Guardian
The politics of fear: How belief and emotion drive electoral outcomes - Pearls and Irritations
Masking the Truth with Puffery: “Meet the Real Peter Dutton” - Sue Barrett
Labor matches Libs on foreign property buyers ban - Michael West Media
We interrupt this relentless optimism for a reminder that the old is dying and the new is struggling to be born - Tim Dunlop for The Future is Everything
Coalition leading narrowly in four polls and would likely win an election held now - The Conversation
Climate 200 to help bankroll candidates in four Labor seats at federal election - The Guardian
Climate 200 will help bankroll independent candidates in four Labor seats – including one held by a cabinet minister – among 35 campaigns it will back at the federal election.
The fundraising vehicle’s final list of target electorates confirms it will support the former journalist and anti-salmon farming campaigner Peter George in his bid to unseat the agriculture minister, Julie Collins, in Franklin in southern Tasmania.
The climate-focused group will also donate to Kate Dezarnaulds in the hyper-marginal Labor-held seat of Gilmore on the New South Wales south coast, and Phil Scott, who is contesting Darwin-based Solomon, held by the Labor MP Luke Gosling.
Also read >
This chart of Clive Palmer’s spending shows one reason we need political donation reforms - The Guardian
Change Isn’t Risky—It’s Empowering: How Traditional Voters Are Reclaiming Their Voice with Community Independents - Sue Barrett
The changing polarity of Australian politics - And how it might sideline the Coalition for a generation - Tim Dunlop
Greg Jericho on why it’s time for a rate cut - Full Story Podcast
Tomorrow the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce their first – and highly anticipated – decision on interest rates for the year. Chief economist at the Australia Institute and Guardian columnist Greg Jericho tells Nour Haydar why he thinks a failure to cut rates would be one of the most political and misguided decisions the RBA would have to make in recent history
Listen to The Full Story Podcast
John Hewson: Truth in advertising should be an urgent priority - The Saturday Paper
Advance was at it again in last week’s Victorian byelection in Prahran, apparently. One voter posted on X, alleging that when they went to the ballot box there were “Advance Australia bullies everywhere” warning them not to vote Greens. Independent candidate Buzz Billman posted that he had “removed [his] volunteers from polling booths … due to safety fears”. Billman noted “volunteers from Advance verbally abusing other candidates and their volunteers, as well as voters”. A spokesman for the lobby group rejected the claims.
Advance received $15.6 million in donations in the past financial year, according to an investigation by Guardian Australia, and its “largest single contribution came from the Cormack Foundation, best known as an investment company for the Liberal party, at $500,000”. This is very significant as it’s the first time I am aware of that the Liberal Party has financially supported an unaffiliated far-right group through their biggest slush fund.
Read more in The Saturday Paper (paywall)
NDIS reforms aim to make the scheme fairer. But we’ve found the groups struggling to gain access - The Conversation
When the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) was established in 2013, one of its driving aims was to make disability services and support systems fairer.
However, our new research shows significant inequalities remain, with some groups finding it much harder than others to be deemed eligible and access a funding plan.
Recent NDIS reforms in part aim to address inequity, and to manage costs.
So, what can we do to ensure these reforms don’t further embed existing inequalities? Here’s what we found.
Also read > Exclusive: Ten dead after welfare glitch ignored by government - Rick Morton for The Saturday Paper (paywall)
TODAY’S BREAKING NEWS: See all the breaking news of the day through The Guardian here - and through 6 News here
Don’t say the P word - The Shot
Nobody ever worked out exactly what crime Antoinette Lattouf had committed; but they didn’t miss in ensuring she was punished for it.
Watching the seemingly endless parade of ABC apparatchiks through the witness box of the Federal Court, one was struck by two things: the stark whiteness of the power structure of the national broadcaster; and the intensity of everyone’s denial that they were in any way personally responsible for the decisions that were made.
From Ita down, nobody at any point wanted to take Lattouf off the air.
Read more from Michael Bradley for The Shot
Also >
Antoinette Lattouf v the ABC - The Guardian’s Full Story
ABC sycophancy erodes our democracy - Pearls and Irritations
Social cohesion a fantasy when the media peddles division and double standards - Bernard Keane for Crikey (paywall)
Who should take responsibility for youth crime? - Pearls and Irritations
A baby might be kicked into life as the result of a careless moment behind the woodshed or a romantic frolic in a grand four-poster bed. Either way, nine months later, that squirming mass of new life will enter the world – wanted or unwanted, prepared for or not.
Yet, regardless of the circumstances of their birth, there is no legal or moral mandate ensuring that this child is taught responsibility. No law requires parents to teach their offspring how to distinguish right from wrong, nor how the legal system operates or what happens if they choose to break society’s rules.
So, if that child grows into a teenager and one day breaks the law, whose failure is it? Who should be held accountable – the child, the parents, or both?
Read more in Pearls and Irritations
Lucy Hamilton: Australians for Responsible Citizenship and NatCon: networks of networks - AIMN
It is easier to understand the constant war drums in support of Israel in Australia’s rightwing spaces if one pays attention to the new nationalism: it unites nationalist projects from the West, Israel and India with the desired in-group marked by religion instead of race. An Israeli Settler intellectual is important to shaping the movement; his career has been fostered for decades by the Atlas Network.
This week in London, assorted radicalising Right figures, many from British Commonwealth country members, are meeting at the second conference of the Alliance for Responsible Citizenship (ARC). Over 50 Australian politicians and media figures are attending, and it is interlinked with other networks aiming to influence illiberal and coercive projects. Australians cannot ignore it.
Read more from Lucy Hamilton for AIMN
Paddy Manning: What the Murdoch kids said on the stand: Inside the Project Harmony trial - Crikey
‘You are completely disenfranchising me and my siblings. You’ve blown a hole in the family.’
Murdoch-watchers were reeling over the weekend from a one-two punch of revelatory features — in The New York Times Magazine and The Atlantic — which have shifted our understanding of the bitter succession feud now playing out in the Nevada courts, and the likely implications for the future of the family’s conservative media empire, comprising Fox and News Corporations.
First came the Times piece, by the dream team of Jonathan Mahler and Jim Rutenberg, who have broken scoop after scoop on the Murdochs since their landmark “Planet…
Read more from Paddy Manning for Crikey (paywall)
Also read > Bad blood and bitterness in Rupert's broken clan - David Hardaker for The Politics
Launch Episode: The Sunday Shot Podcast
In this launch episode of The Sunday Shot, hosts Jo Dyer and Dave Milner are joined by Rachel Withers (Crikey) and Anthony Klan (The Klaxon) with a special interview with Richard Denniss from The Australia Institute - where they discuss #auspol events of the week.
Listen to the launch episode replay of The Sunday Shot (broadcast live every Sunday at 9am)
The best of both worlds? How Australia’s unique democracy evolved - The Conversation
Australia was a striking incarnation of modern social organisation. It was historically perhaps the most developed instance of the harnessing of democracy with bureaucracy, for two reasons.
First, its settlement and development were documented in detail. Instructions to and reports from colonial governors, the manifests of convict ships, the documentation of immigrant arrivals — all were resources for those managing colonial development.
Second, as population increased, colonial governments needed to raise loans from the mother country to develop the infrastructure necessary for private enterprise to flourish.
Inspired by a local group of people in Sydney's north who were looking for t-shirts to wear on their regular walks, Democracy Walks champions, supports and actively engages in our democracy.
CLICK here to see Democracy Walks’ t-shirt designs - and join the democracy walkers today!
See a list of the 35 community independents - who have (so far) announced their candidacy in the upcoming federal election. Subscribe, volunteer, donate to support their campaigns.
Quick Links…
News Corp’s campaign against Rudd: ‘It’s a vendetta’ - The Saturday Paper (paywall)
Albanese’s gamble on US tariffs - New Politics
Peter Dutton's DOGE: draining the swamp or making the swamp great again? - Michael West Media
Australia is going backwards on race but ‘social cohesion’ is not the answer, warns commissioner - The Guardian
TRANSITZONE : TRUMP 2.0 THE PROLOGUE - #transitzone podcast
The nation is finally coming to grips with home affordability - Pearls and Irritations
As regional newspapers lose print editions, what comes next for local news? - ABC’s MediaLand Podcast
Environment: States and territories to reduce their emissions by 44% by 2030 - Pearls and Irritations
Australia's 50 Richest 2025: Here's Who Ranks the Highest - Forbes Australia
What would it take to make YouTube a force for climate action? – Croakey Health Media
Australia building half as many homes per hour worked compared to 30 years ago, Productivity Commission finds - The Guardian
Managing Trump, not Closing the Gap, dirty election deals - New Politics Podcast
First AUKUS meeting of Trump 2.0: Business as usual - Pearls and Irritations
New datasets available for late 2024 elections - Ben Raue for The Tally Room
In Afghanistan, families are forced to sell children to survive. Trump’s USAID cuts will be devastating - Women’s Agenda
What if there was ‘chaos’ on Sydney’s trains and no-one (except the media) showed up? - Crikey (paywall)
How Bob Brown stays optimistic - 7am Podcast
Federal government either unable or unwilling to set an immigration target - Alan Kohler for The ABC
The tech industry has never been more powerful. How do the government’s policies stack up? - The Guardian
TODAY’S BREAKING NEWS: See all the breaking news of the day through The Guardian here - and through 6 News here
Share your views on Australia’s media landscape through TrueNorth’s short survey
You’re up to date for Monday the 17th of February. See you tomorrow!
TODAY’S BREAKING NEWS: See all the breaking news of the day through The Guardian here - and through 6 News here